The Top 3 Canadian Income Stocks
Table of Contents
Great Big Profits from the Great White North
The information and advice you’re about to read in “The Top 3 Canadian Income Stocks” comes to you from the research team at Canadian Edge, the only U.S. advisory focused solely on Canada, home to arguably the world’s strongest economy and the best—and SAFEST—income investments.
We’ve studied and invested in the Canadian market for decades. In our view, there’s no better place for spectacular dividend yields—and massive capital gains too! We’ve built our years of success on a laser-like focus on the two strongest segments of the Canadian investment universe: high-yielding blue chips and real estate investment trusts.
While the tightwads of the Dow dribble out weak 2% dividends, Canadian firms routinely crank out FIVE TIMES more—and they often send payments out monthly.
There are about 300 high-yielding Canadian stocks and trusts on the market. 153 are suitable for U.S. investors—and we follow them all at Canadian Edge.
We look at a company from every angle. Then we assign every stock we follow a safety rating. This takes out the guesswork, so you can sit back and collect your distribution checks without worry. You simply won’t find this information anywhere else.
The Canadian stocks we cover have crushed the competition. The 10 recommendations we made in our charter issue in 2004 are up 175%. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 is up just 39%.
Canadian Edge readers have racked up some pretty impressive capital gains: 177% in natural gas... 159% in power production ... 415% in construction... 289% in socially responsible oil and gas... 264% in industrial chemicals... 458% in international energy production... 532% in pipelines... 453% in transportation... and 290% in real estate.
Don’t deny yourself the raw profit-building power of the Great White North’s world-beating economy for a moment longer. Join the happy band of Americans piling up profits north of the border. Try a no-risk 90-day trial subscription to Canadian Edge now.
I probably don’t have to tell you what dividend-paying stocks can add to your portfolio.
I’m sure you already know that the best ones give you steady—and ideally rising—income, along with the potential for strong capital gains. They also add stability, particularly utilities, because people have to buy essential services—power, water and electricity—no matter what the economy is doing.
The proof is in the market. Traditional regulated utility stocks are a good proxy for dividend increasers. Look at how well they did in past market meltdowns:
When the Dow and S&P 500 each shriveled by more than 19% in the fall of 1998, the average utility stock rose 4%. After the market plunged in the dot-com crash of March 2000, utilities were up 28% nine months later—and have since risen by 208%. The tech-heavy NASDAQ 100 index is still underwater by 33% after all these years.
But what if I told you that I’ve found a place where all these qualities are supercharged?
Where companies are based on even stronger fundamentals. Where dividends are fatter. And where safety-conscious investors can still tap into stocks that are set to skyrocket and still sleep soundly at night.
I know what you’re thinking: If such a place existed, surely every investor would know about it, right? You’d think so, but in reality only a handful are paying attention, which is a shame, because these rock-solid, cash-spinning investments couldn’t be closer—and easier to buy.
In fact, they’re sitting right in our backyard. In Canada.
My name is David Dittman, and I’m the chief investment strategist at Investing Daily’s Canadian Edge, the most comprehensive advisory for building wealth in Canada.
I’ve been studying the Canadian economy for nearly a decade, and I’ve come to one undeniable conclusion: If you’re not holding high-quality Canadian stocks in your portfolio, you’re missing out on extraordinary—and safe—gains that simply aren’t available here at home.
The best part? Unshakable dividend income from proven high-yield companies. Canadian investors demand generous dividends, and Canadian companies are famous for payments that steadily rise. These dividends are large and consistent, with a long-standing track record.
I can’t wait to get started showing you the unparalleled profit-making power of Canadian dividend stocks. As we move through this report, I’ll show you, step-by-step, how to spot the best ones for your portfolio, which sectors have the best prospects for gains and, perhaps most important, how to steer clear of the Canadian dividend stocks that are headed off a cliff.
Before we go any further, I’d like to introduce you to the first of our top three high-dividend Canadian stock picks. I think it offers a hands-on example of how these companies stand out from their U.S. peers—and most importantly, how investors benefit. It will also give you a sense of the thoroughness of the analysis we provide in Canadian Edge. In every issue, we give you our clear, concise analysis and unbiased investment opinion in plain, everyday English. You get no weasel words or incomprehensible brokerspeak. Just the facts.
You’ll also notice that each stock we mention has two ticker symbols, one for the home Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX) and the second for the U.S. over-the-counter (OTC) market. I’ll show you the easiest ways to add these high-powered stocks to your portfolio a little further on, but first, here’s a rock-solid high-yield pick that only a handful of other U.S. investors have ever even heard about...
Unless your business has purchased fuel products in Western Canadian backcountry, you’ve likely never heard of Parkland Fuel Corp. (TSX: PKI, OTC: PKIUF). Parkland is Canada’s largest independent fuel marketer and distributor. It operates and supplies 720 convenience stores and gas stations under a number of banners from coast to coast.
The company goes well beyond gas stations: Its commercial business supplies bulk fuel, propane, heating oil, lubricants, industrial fuels, oilfield fluids and other related products under four popular brands. Having both commercial and retail segments diversifies Parkland’s business and makes its cash flow less vulnerable to seasonal swings: The commercial segment is strong in the fall and winter, while its gas stations perform well during the spring and summer driving seasons.
Fuel distribution is a fragmented industry, so growth through acquisition is the norm. In early 2013, the company completed its purchase of Elbow River Marketing, which gives it a fleet of 1,200 tanker cars and a network of relationships with refiners, fuel suppliers and consumers. The acquisition, which will initially add CAD 0.16 a share to Parkland’s distributable cash flow, should help bottlenecked Western Canadian oil and gas reach key North American markets.
Parkland also recently announced the acquisition of Sparling’s Propane. The price was not disclosed, but management says the purchase makes Parkland a major player in the Canadian propane market. Sparling’s delivers 120 million liters to around 25,000 customers every year. Its operations nicely dovetail Elbow River’s efforts in this area.
The more the company expands its reach and volumes, the less vulnerable it should be to factors beyond its control, such as regional competition. Its robust business plan also provides lots of opportunity to boost revenue, cash flow and dividends. The upshot for Parkland’s stock is a combination of robust and reliable growth potential plus a high and sustainable yield of around 6%. The shares also trade at a reasonable multiple to Parkland’s last 12 months of earnings.
Add it all up, and Parkland is a solid bet for annualized total returns of 15 to 20%.
Get all you need to get in on the ground floor of Parkland Fuel—before its bulletproof distribution and smart growth strategy catch other investors’ attention—when you take a 90-day risk-free trial to Canadian Edge now.
To demonstrate how resilient the best Canadian high-dividend stocks are, I’d like to tell you how a group of them survived—and thrived—during a regulatory change that many investors thought would do many of them in.
First, a little bit of history: Like many Canadian income stocks, all three of our top picks once operated as income trusts. Until January 1, 2011, these instruments were like U.S. master limited partnerships (MLPs)—pass-through entities that didn’t get taxed at the corporate level but only at the investor level.
By avoiding the double taxation inherent in regular corporations, income trusts were able to distribute more cash to unitholders. There were three main types: (1) oil and natural gas production; (2) power and pipeline; (3) real estate investment trusts (REITs); and (4) general businesses. More than half of the roughly 250 Canadian income trusts were of the oil-and-gas-production variety.
On October 31, 2006, the Canadian government announced that all income trusts except REITs would lose their tax-advantaged status and be taxed at the company level—just like corporations—starting in 2011.
January 1, 2011, came and went, taking income trusts’ tax-free status with it. All trusts (except qualifying REITs) are now subject to tax at a rate roughly equal to corporate tax rates. Consequently, most trusts decided to convert to corporations because with tax rates equalized, a corporate structure gives management much more flexibility than the income trust structure.
Canadian income trust investors worried about the change for four years, but they needn’t have. Today, the high-yield legacy that income trusts have established lives on in the new corporations. In fact, many trusts experienced “cut-less conversions” in which they kept paying the same dividend amount despite the new tax.
One reason for that is Canada’s federal corporate tax rate, which is one of the lowest in the world at 15%, almost half the U.S. rate. So the additional cost of being taxed at the entity level is a lot less burdensome in Canada than it would be almost anywhere else.
But a low tax rate is just the beginning of the story. The emergence of these high-powered income stocks, which are leaders of a new breed of high-yielding equity never before seen, is a victory of fundamental supply and demand.
Simply put, investors want yield, and public companies have to compete for capital. That has encouraged former trusts to keep their dividends high. After all, distributing a big slice of cash flow attracts investors, and it has the added benefit of instilling discipline on management that might otherwise get a little too aggressive when it comes to looking beyond the confines of the business plan.
These income stocks’ outsized dividends dwarf those of a typical U.S. corporation and continue to be much higher than the paltry yields offered by the conventional stocks and bonds most advisors try to shove into clients’ accounts. And as the low- and no-cut conversions prove, management has discovered that it’s possible to pay out big and grow their businesses at the same time by using capital efficiently.
It’s certainly not news that investors are more focused on yield than ever before. And these companies have realized they can harness that demand to issue low-cost equity that can fund everything from acquisitions to asset construction. Asset growth, in turn, means cash flow growth, which means a greater ability to pay dividends.
This is one reason we’ve sifted through the list of former trusts to make our top three Canadian dividend stock picks. The regulatory change has put them through a sort of boot camp that U.S. companies have never had to endure: Not only were they stress-tested by the economy and credit markets during the recession, but they also thrived despite the Canadian government’s restrictions on how they raised capital. That gives you the reassurance you need that these companies have strong underlying businesses with powerful growth prospects.
It all adds up to windfall gains and hefty yields and total returns in the coming years—all with much less risk than investing in most U.S. sectors. That’s perhaps the most powerful reason investors need to buy into Canada’s top dividend stocks right away.
Best of all, unlike most foreign investments, buying shares of Canadian dividend stocks is just as easy as investing in a U.S. company. You can do it through your broker right now. To make things even simpler, many Canadian companies are listed on U.S. stock exchanges.
Investors in Canadian high-income stocks enjoy the added benefit of being paid in Canadian dollars, a currency that should continue to appreciate against the U.S. dollar.
Canada is in good shape, with its banks solid and federal budget closest to balance among major countries. Canada was unburdened by a subprime-lending-driven credit bubble, its banks largely avoided risky lending practices and its government and people have been spared the massive costs associated with patching up holes in the balance sheets of companies deemed “too big to fail.”
It entered the 2008/09 financial crisis on a positive long-term fiscal trajectory, having turned in a decade’s worth of balanced budgets, and made slow but steady progress whittling away the federal debt. Canada is in an excellent position to extend its global influence, attract increasing amounts of foreign capital and grow at a more durable rate than its developed-economy peers over the next 10 years.
The Canadian dollar climbed a wall of worry in 2012 but managed to exit at virtual parity with the U.S. dollar. And it’s difficult to conceive of any U.S. dollar collapse that wouldn’t benefit Canada’s currency, and therefore the U.S. dollar price of its stocks and U.S. dollar value of its dividends. In fact, dividend-paying Canadian stocks are likely to prove the perfect hedge for U.S. investors if there is a U.S. dollar collapse, all the while generating world-beating yields.
The Canadian “loonie” also provides protection from future inflation because it tracks the price of energy, which is certain to be at the root of any inflation swing.
Now let’s take a look at the second of our top three picks in Canadian high-dividend stocks. It’s the safest of the three investments, because it operates as a general contractor that profits long-term contracts for its services.
Bird Construction Inc.(TSX: BDT, OTC: BIRDF) operates as a general contractor on building construction and major infrastructure projects, almost entirely in Canada.
The company serves clients in many different sectors, including industrial, institutional, retail, commercial, multi-tenant residential and renovation and restoration. We like Bird as an investment because it generates predictable cash flows based on its long-term contracts for construction services.
Bird has been a winner for investors, but there’s still more upside in the company, which dominates its infrastructure-construction niche. The key for Bird is to continue to win new contracts, preferably from the private sector. The company’s success at weathering the 2008/09 debacle and the soft construction market that’s followed has been its ability to make up for a slumping private sector with public-sector contracts.
Such contracts have become more difficult to come by over the past couple years, and margins are lower, as well. That has slowed the stock’s progress, but analysts see revenue and earnings jumping 9% and 38%, respectively, in 2014. Bird also has a backlog of CAD 1.03 billion. Management plans to execute on CAD 750 million of this backlog during the remainder of the year.
The company has roughly CAD 141 million of cash on its balance sheet and just CAD 32 million in long-term debt, making it a solid long-term buy for conservative and aggressive investors alike.
Any report on Canadian investing would be incomplete without mentioning the energy sector. Here too, the country has significant investment appeal. Here’s why.
First, global demand is set to rise exponentially in the coming years as the developing world raises its standard of living. And the industry’s current base of production doesn’t come close to meeting it.
Second, the best Canadian energy producers are still extremely cheap. Not only do they trade at huge discounts to the value of their reserves in the ground, but they’ve been battle-tested in some of the toughest resource markets in history.
Third, their debt, which was never really very high, is at its lowest level in years. They’re having no problems accessing credit. Virtually every company that could refinance its debt has done so at the lowest interest rates since the 1950s, making a reprise of the 2008 credit crunch nearly impossible.
Yields are still in the high-single-digit/low-double-digit zone and are now protected by extremely conservative assumptions for realized selling prices, which are backed by systematic hedging. Costs are falling, spurred by penny-pinching management but also by the long-awaited drop in production costs due to slack conditions in the energy-services business.
To be sure, there are still some near-term risks. Producing natural gas remains a barely profitable proposition at current prices and a serious drag on profits for many high-debt companies leveraged to gas. With continuing supply challenges, oil has been a considerably more profitable business recently.
Given that we are recovering from the worst global recession in 80 years, it’s no surprise that global energy demand has been weak. This has created the illusion that energy is no longer in short supply and that arguments like Peak Oil Theory, so popular just a few years ago, are a bunch of bull. In reality, however, the long-term supply/demand situation just got dramatically worse, because lower energy prices have basically stymied conservation, new production and alternative energy.
Nonetheless, the global economy is returning to growth, and increased energy demand is following along for the ride. However, the temporarily weak energy demand caused by the 2008/09 economic crisis has eliminated the desire and wherewithal for the kind of permanent adoption of new technology to reduce energy consumption, such as the massive switch to small cars was to the 1970s.
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At the same time, the energy industry remains very cautious regarding new production. One reason is that, while the price of oil has rallied, natural gas still can’t get above key threshold rates. As a result, producers are still thinking about how they can cut costs to save cash rather than how to ramp up new output for profit.
In fact, when executives from three large Canadian energy producers with sizable U.S. shareholder bases—Enerplus (TSX: ERF, NYSE: ERF), Pengrowth Energy (TSX: PGF, NYSE: PGH) and Penn West Petroleum (TSX: PWT, NYSE: PWE)—were asked at what level of energy prices they would ramp up drilling and distributions again, their unanimous response was that prices would have to stabilize at a much higher level to stir them from otherwise very defensive postures.
As an investor, that’s quite comforting in one sense. It means these energy companies have built in very conservative assumptions to budgeting, hence their high dividends. They also remain focused on holding down debt and keeping costs under control as the best way to outlast weaknesses in the economy. That should help their chances of surviving a low-price environment and staying on track to participate in a recovery.
It also means, however, that in the future, the people running these companies are going to be even more skeptical than usual when it comes to reacting to increases in energy prices.
Canadian energy companies are far more interested in using their cash windfalls to enhance their long-term sustainability by cutting debt and expanding reserves than in increasing output meaningfully. Any additional cash flow they gain from higher energy prices will almost certainly be used first and foremost to trim debt. Priority two will be to expand their reserve bases and then return some to shareholders, most likely as share buybacks and possibly as special cash distributions.
Only if management is fully convinced that higher prices are here to stay will they really ramp up output. And that’s likely to take a prolonged period of much higher oil and gas prices than what we have now. This cautious sentiment is reflected across the industry. The upshot is now that the global economy and energy demand are recovering, few producers are going to really believe better times are at hand. That means supply increases are going to lag demand growth, quite possibly for years.
Oil and gas prices are eventually going to take out the 2008 summer highs. In fact, it’s going to take the same factors that ended the 1970s energy bull market—the same factors that have ended every commodity bull market in human history—to restore the balance of market power to energy consumers, where it was during the 1990s.
Those factors are real demand destruction from permanent conservation, a switch of meaningful energy production capacity from fossil fuels on par with the move to nuclear power in the 1970s and a genuine discovery of fossil fuel supplies that’s cost-competitive with current conventional sources. None of the factors are even possible at today’s energy prices, and they will only be possible after oil and natural gas make at least one more extremely profitable run for the roses.
To help you take full advantage of the improving supply/demand picture for oil and gas, here’s the last of our three Canadian high-dividend picks, an energy producer that offers a lower yield than some of its peers but by far the best combination of balanced production, conservative finances, healthy reserves, low costs and seasoned management.
Canadian Edge portfolio holding ARC Resources (TSX: ARX, OTC: AETUF) is one of Canada’s largest conventional oil and gas companies. It has interests in producing wells from six core areas in Western Canada, with more than half in Alberta.
ARC’s largest production fields include Pembina (75% oil and 25% gas), Parkland/Tower (mostly natural gas with some natural gas liquids), Ante Creek (half gas, half oil) and Dawson (all natural gas). The company says the high-quality resource at Dawson means that it remains economic even when gas prices are low.
One of the key considerations in the acquisition of an unconventional asset is the ability to efficiently exploit it. These are often complex operations, the geology of which demands sophisticated technology in the hands of experienced workers.
In terms of exploration, “tight” (i.e., difficult to reach) gas is more comparable to oil sands than conventional oil and gas. The resource is pretty much known to be there in very large quantities; the solution to the problem of collecting the natural gas in a cost-effective manner requires multiple hydraulic fractures utilizing long horizontal wellbores.
ARC has substantial experience in unconventional horizontal drilling. In July 2005, it drilled the first “multiple-stage-frac” horizontal well in the Upper Montney formation (a natural gas shale area straddling British Columbia and Alberta). The Montney formation (which includes the Dawson and Parkland/Tower fields) provides ARC with substantial growth opportunities. In fact, at current production levels, ARC has already grown its energy asset base to the point where it has a reserve life of 17.5 years!
Natural gas now makes up 61% of ARC’s production, but management is currently focused on exploiting oil and liquids opportunities given the relative strength of pricing. ARC’s focus on oil and liquids development, which started in 2011, has resulted in crude oil and liquids production reaching 37,368 barrels per day, or 39% of its total production, a 3% increase relative to the first quarter of 2012.
At the same time, the company is well positioned to respond to natural gas’s increasing proportion in the global energy pie. For example, according to the Paris-based International Energy Agenda, natural gas demand for road transport has grown tenfold over the first decade of the 21st century. By 2018, the agency sees natural gas representing as much as one-tenth of incremental energy needs in the transportation sector, with its use for this purpose rising to 98 billion cubic meters by then.
The global shift to natural gas is driven by the country that seems to be the force behind all demand-profile shifts: China. The “Middle Kingdom” is in the process of building natural gas terminals to facilitate import of the commodity from Australia. This is part of a move to diversify China’s dependence on coal and oil toward nuclear and natural gas. It has profound implications for Canada, rich in a resource that will soon be traded in a global rather than a regional context.
ARC’s expertise in horizontal “frac” drilling and its growing portfolio of top-quality assets perfectly positions it to capitalize on rising demand for both oil and gas, especially abroad. And it pays a solid and growing dividend that currently yields above 4%.
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With a solid and growing reserve base, a healthy balance sheet and long-term production gains ahead, ARC Resources is a strong buy. If energy prices do surprise to the upside, this stock will, as well.
The advice you’ve just read in “The Top 3 Canadian Income Stocks” is just a small sample of what you get in our monthly Canadian Edge articles and regular email alerts.
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Here’s just a small sampling of some of the gains our picks have racked up for Canadian Edge readers:
- 266% on Canada’s largest retail REIT
- 429% on a construction company that’s boasted over 19 consecutive years of profitability and growth
- And 487% on a junior exploration and production company that converted to a dividend-paying corporation and never looked back
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There’s no doubt about it: A selection of high-quality Canadian income stocks should be a cornerstone of your portfolio in the coming years. Canada’s world-beating economy is bursting with profitable opportunities for savvy investors, but you must have the right information at your fingertips—at the right time—to make it happen. That’s exactly what you get with Canadian Edge.
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