Stocks to Watch
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Bloomberg had an article yesterday about “where the next crisis will come from.” The list included unsettled politics, problem banks and growing debt.Guess what? That’s a woefully incomplete list. But don’t expect me to complete it because the truth is we don’t know what the next crisis will be.Part of the reason that crises hit […]
We all know the expression that a fool and his money are soon parted. But as we observe the irrational actions of energy traders lately, it begs the question: How did these fools and their money get together in the first place?Case in point: The irrational exuberance now bidding up the shares of oilfield services giant […]
Tonight’s the final presidential debate.Oh. Boy. Like most Americans, I just want this campaign to end. Can we just fast-forward to Election Day and move on?In fact, the more relevant debate for investors is: what to buy now?U.S. stocks, foreign stocks, bonds? Or maybe increase cash, like the pros are doing?In truth, no broad sector jumps out […]
Professional investors have more of their portfolios in cash than at any time since 9/11.That’s remarkable—and a hopeful sign for the market in 2017.As we’ve said before, the U.S. stock market is vulnerable to a correction. Valuations are high, interest rates are likely to move higher, and there’s a not-insignificant chance of an external shock […]
Economically, the energy sector has been in the doldrums for years now.But for investors, it’s been anything but boring.That’s because during the long cyclical downturn, energy prices have been fairly volatile. Check out this price graph for crude oil over the past 20 years.The collapses in 2008 and 2014 stand out, but you also see […]
It’s been a tense time for the stock market, which is richly valued and so vulnerable to any sort of bad news.But today, good news arrived to send us into the weekend feeling a bit more relaxed.(I’m not even going to comment on last night’s National(s) tragedy. There’s always next year.)First, three global banks announced earnings that […]
Big day in my household.First: Game Five tonight in the National League Division Series … Go Nats!Second: Bob Dylan won the Nobel Prize for Literature. Go Bob! (I’m a big fan.)The thing is, Dylan doesn’t care much about awards. In that sense, he reminds me of Warren Buffett, Peter Lynch and other great investors whose […]
Baseball, football, politics – I understand there are some serious distractions this week.On the financial front, just this afternoon the Fed released minutes of the September Federal Open Market Committee meeting at which three members dissented from the decision not to raise rates. The minutes revealed that “several members” supported a rate hike “relatively soon,” […]
Alcoa, the aluminum giant, kicked off the third-quarter earnings season this morning by laying an egg: revenue and earnings were lower than expected.A bellwether company for the industrial sector, Alcoa (NYSE: AA) was down about 10% in early afternoon after posting earnings of 32 cents per share, vs. analysts’ consensus estimate of 35 cents per […]
Good news for the economy today – which could be bad news for stocks.But that could be good news for investors!What do I mean? Let’s dive in.Unemployment claims fell to a surprisingly low 249,000 for the week ended Oct. 1 , below analysts’ forecast of 265,000 and the second-lowest level since 1973. That’s great news […]