Account Information

  • My Account

    Manage all your subscriptions, update your address, email preferences and change your password.

  • Help Center

    Get answers to common service questions, ask the analyst or contact our customer service department.

  • My Stock Talk Profile

    Update your stock talk name and/or picture.


$1,230 in Instant Income?

$1,230 in Instant Income?Our top income expert recently pulled the wraps off his breakthrough moneymaking technique. And he proved beyond a shadow of a doubt how you can use it to generate instant cash payouts of up to $1,230 (or more). Over and over again. But then he took things a big step further and guaranteed you can make $1 million by following his program. And the second he did, our phones went nuts! Space is limited — get the details here.



Oil’s Pain is Europe’s Gain

By Richard Stavros on December 16, 2015

MEXICO CITY, Mexico — Here in Mexico’s capital I can see how the dramatic collapse in oil prices may have a more permanent effect on consumer spending than many analysts see—and this should boost our consumer-related income investments in Europe.

I’ve found the country’s national obsession today isn’t fútbol. The subject has pervaded my daily life since I arrived a week ago, whether on morning radio, at a cocktail party or at a formal dinner, is oil.  Given Mexico’s heavy economic dependence on black gold, this wasn’t a surprise. But what was a surprise is that many analysts in Mexico believed that oil prices could be low for a decade or more.  

And given how much Mexico’s economy could be hurt by this forecast, I found it more genuine than the same cast of oil drillers being interviewed on Bloomberg TV that have been forecasting that $100 per barrel oil is just a few months away. 

I’ve met various oil analysts’ contacts in Mexico that believed the world was returning to a time when oil prices stayed low for multi-year stretches—such as during the 1980s. One analyst showed me a historical oil price graph going back to the 1950s that seemed to clearly support the idea that $100+ price per barrel of oil had been an aberration.

In fact, Columbia University’s Jason Bordoff, an energy policy expert, recently told the BBC that this may be the end of the “supercycle” of commodity prices, and that we may be in for an extended period of low oil prices.  Bordoff says that since the 1970s we’ve “been in an era of relatively tight supplies (controlled mostly by OPEC) and generally rising prices.” But those factors are “starting to be reversed,” he said.

Bordoff, according to the BBC, cited three factors that will keep pressure on prices:

1) Sluggish growth in both emerging and developed economies that is reducing the demand.

2) New technologies, such as fracking, that make previously shuttered oil fields again productive that adds supply.

3) Continued incremental improvement in alternative sources of energy, like wind and solar.

Trend is Your Friend

The many oil forecasters I knew in my previous career in the energy industry have all consistently given me one piece of advice when it comes to oil price forecasting: “you will likely be wrong more often than not.

The key is to spot the overall trend, they said.

And we at Global Income Edge do see a trend: demand for consumer staples seems to be headed north.  And even if a modest rise in oil prices would occur it would continue to bolster consumer staples and some consumer discretionary stocks in Europe.

Meanwhile, I had predicted last year that consumer spending would increase as a result of the fall in oil prices, but it has taken a little longer to happen than anyone expected.

The reason is that historically consumers don’t spend the extra money unless they believe it’s a permanent trend. And early this year, most were still saving the gains from the low prices at the pump.

But when comparing the S&P 500 Consumer Discretionary Index and the Consumer Staples Index to the New York Mercantile Exchange historical oil spot indexes, it’s clear that by the middle of this year consumers had begun to view low oil prices as a permanent trend and both consumer indexes have been on an upward trend, which represents an investment opportunity.    

As Oil falls, Consumer Indexes Pick-Up

oil chart




Going into 2016, we believe Europe is poised for higher growth based on improving fundamentals, currency advantages and a major effort by the central bank.

In fact, according to a report by the BBC, a 10% fall in oil prices should lead to a 0.1% increase in economic output in Europe. And oil prices are down by more than 60% since 2014, so we’ll view with interest how this translates into economic output.


You might also enjoy…


Obscure Tax Law Forces This Company to Pay Out 90% of its Profits

A 50-year-old loophole is forcing one company to pay out $9 of every $10 it makes from ironclad contracts with the U.S. Government.

In fact, over the past seven years, it’s made payments ranging from a few dollars… to tens of thousands of dollars… 30 times. Without a single cut! 

Most folks don’t even know this company exists, but the ones that do are making a mint.

Like Ted B., who’s set to receive a check for $1,096 just a few days from now.

Merrill H., a 58-year-old from New York, has collected over $3,385 so far. 

And retirees Beth and Terry P. have raked in $16,555.

I’ve put together a special report that will give you all the details, including simple instructions on how to get your name on the payout list before the next cutoff date.

You can get your copy here.

Stock Talk — Post a comment Comment Guidelines

Our Stock Talk section is reserved for productive dialogue pertaining to the content and portfolio recommendations of this service. We reserve the right to remove any comments we feel do not benefit other readers. If you have a general investment comment not related to this article, please post to our Stock Talk page. If you have a personal question about your subscription or need technical help, please contact our customer service team. And if you have any success stories to share with our analysts, they’re always happy to hear them. Note that we may use your kind words in our promotional materials. Thank you.

You must be logged in to post to Stock Talk OR create an account.

Create a new Investing Daily account

  • - OR -

* Investing Daily will use any information you provide in a manner consistent with our Privacy Policy. Your email address is used for account verification and will remain private.