Trade Alert: TAL

Buy TAL Education Group (NYSE: TAL)

Tiger Global Management owns 9.85 million shares, or about 3.5 percent of the U.S.-traded ADRs of this leading tutorial center operator in China which focuses on high-achieving students in the K to 12 curriculum. A culture that places heavy emphasis on education, the Chinese are willing to pay premium prices to give their children an edge in a highly competitive exam to enter top universities, which could determine the course of the rest of the students’ lives. It is not uncommon for a student in his or her final year of high school to spend most of his waking hours (outside of school) studying for the entrance exam. And many students literally spend most of their young lives preparing for that exam.

TAL has seen its growth accelerate recently by more aggressively adding learning centers. In its latest reported quarter alone, TAL added 60 learning centers (bringing the total to 567), way more than anyone expected, which suggests higher growth potential. The center enjoys a strong brand image and word of mouth, and enjoys almost $1 billion in deferred revenue—money collected from parents in advance—which suggests there’s a sizeable waiting list to secure a spot in TAL’s classes.  

TAL is a buy with an initial suggested buy-up-to price of $35. We will have more information in an upcoming Weekly Update.

Stock Talk

CD

CD

Hi Scott, It makes me nervous to buy a stock like this one, when it’s at the highest price its ever been, especially since there is a possible market correction in the near future. I have added it to my Watch List though. I have scoured the charts back to the 2008 market correction and it took years for many stocks to get back up the the price they were at…. Should we not be concerned about the market correction at this point, and be holding off on buying stocks that are at their highest? I’m fairly new to investing, so maybe I’m wrong. Thanks, CD

Scott Chan

Scott Chan

Dear CD,

Your concern is totally understandable. A stock like this can suffer a pullback for no reason at all simply because it’s overbought.

Before its 6 for 1 reverse split on Aug 15, the stock price was well above $150. We were hesitant to recommend it because we thought the high nominal value may turn off our readers as they cannot buy many shares. After the reverse split, we turned our attention back to the stock.

The stock just had a big drop today along with another Chinese tutoring stock held by Tiger Global Management without any obvious reason. We will continue to do our research and hopefully have an update next week. We do expect the stock to come back. Our readers who haven’t bought it yet would be able to buy the stock at a lower price than our entry price.

The company is situated in a very favorable market and despite some really impressive growth in recent quarters, still appears to have plenty more room to grow. In the upcoming Weekly issue we will have more details.

Add New Comments

You must be logged in to post to Stock Talk OR create an account