Stephen Leeb

Stephen Leeb, Ph.D. is the Chief Investment Strategist of The Complete Investor and Real World Investing.

Dr. Leeb’s books have been notable for predicting the secular bull market that started in the 1980s (Getting in on the Ground Floor, Putnam, 1986); the tech stock crash and rise of real assets, including oil and gold (Defying the Market: Profiting in the Turbulent Post-Technology Market Boom, McGraw-Hill, 1999); and the surge in oil prices (The Oil Factor: Protect Yourself and Profit from the Coming Energy Crisis, Warner Books, 2004). His national bestseller, The Coming Economic Collapse: How You Can Thrive When Oil Costs $200 a Barrel (Warner Books, 2006), co-authored with Glen Strathy, outlined the biggest challenges facing the US economy, and accurately predicted the 2008 sub prime mortgage crisis as well as the vicious subsequent economic cycle requiring massive infusions of government stimulus, near zero interest rates and much higher federal debt levels. Game Over: How You Can Prosper in a Shattered Economy (Business Plus, 2009) predicted a permanent peak in global commodity production. Dr. Leeb’s eighth and latest book, Red Alert (Hachette, 2011), outlined China’s growing prosperity and the ways in which its demands on increasingly scarce resources threaten the American way of life.

Among his many speaking engagements, he has been the keynote speaker at both a JPMorgan Chase energy conference and a Royal Bank of Canada commodities conference.

Dr. Leeb received his bachelor’s degree in Economics from the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business. He then earned his master’s degree in Mathematics and Ph.D. in Psychology from the University of Illinois in just three years, an academic record that stands to date. He is frequently quoted in the financial media, including Investors Business Daily, USA Today, Business Week, The New York Times, NPR and The Wall Street Journal. In addition, Dr. Leeb is a regular guest on Fox News, Bloomberg, CNN and Neil Cavuto.

Analyst Articles

Buy to open VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSE: GDX) March 16, 2018 $22.50 call option. The gold-stock indicator is becoming more bullish, and warrants taking a short-term leveraged position on gold stocks via GDX. More detail about the indicators to come in a Weekly Update. Read More

The markets seem somewhat out of whack. That can mean unusual forces are at work, and these tend to be hard to quantify. For example, the yield curve – the difference between long- and short-term rates – has been flattening, which should hurt banks. Yet financial stocks have been strong. Read More

We are closing out our position in iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ: TLT) March 16, 2018 $127 call option. The position is too dependent on the uncertain political machinations now underway in Congress over the fate of the tax legislation.  … Read More

It’s a good thing we’ve never tried to develop an indicator for bitcoin. Why? Because it’s tough even to imagine what variables would have pointed us to the cryptocurrency’s exponential gains. At this point, probably the only valid comment is that history is on the side of the bears. It’s… Read More

My indicators have been exceptionally good guides to moves in ETFs. But up to now I have left it up to subscribers themselves to decide how to apply them. That is, I haven’t offered guidance on what percentage of your trading capital to allocate to any one trade. As a… Read More

Buy iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ: TLT) March 16, 2018 $127 call option. More details to come in today’s update. Read More

Sell to close the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSE: SPY) December 15, 2017 $250 put option. Sell to close the remainder of the two-part trade recommended in October. Read More