Trade Alert: Send Me the Money! (WU)

I sometimes bike along the C&O Canal towpath and marvel at the string of old telegraph poles lining the hillside. I imagine how exciting it must have been 150 years ago to suddenly be able to send messages to distant friends and relatives electronically instead of by post.

These days, The Western Union Company (NYSE: WU) is in the business of wiring money instead of words, which I suspect is even more satisfying to the recipient than a postcard. It’s also quite lucrative for Western Union, which earned consolidated revenues of $1.4 billion during the second quarter of this year, a 2% YOY (year-over-year) increase.

However, WU has been stuck in a trading range for the past year due in part to concerns over the impact cryptocurrencies may have on its business. The assumption is that the anonymous nature of cryptocurrencies makes them more difficult to track across national boundaries and are therefore more attractive to tax evaders than are the traceable money transfers facilitated by Western Union.

There are two problems with that theory: first, nearly 80% of Western-Union’s revenue is generated by C2C (consumer-to-consumer) transactions that are relatively modest in size; second, the inherent risk of the cryptocurrency market has become apparent as evidenced by Bitcoin’s 67% decline over the past eight months. After all, what good is avoiding a relatively small tax bite if you incur a much bigger loss of principal?

For that reason, I think WU has become oversold and is going to break back above $20 later this year as it gains market share from erstwhile cryptocurrency users. Western Union earns an IDEAL score of 9 (on a scale of 0 – 10) thanks to its high dividend yield of 4%, strong cash flow, and forward P/E ratio of 9.8 (compared to a multiple of 17.6 for the S&P 500 Index).

I’m not expecting a huge move out of WU, but we only need for it to close above $19 three months from now for this to be a very profitable trade. And if it doesn’t? In that case, we’ll start collecting those high dividend payments until we write a covered call against it. Either way, we win.

Regardless of how many contracts you sell, it’s absolutely critical that you follow the instructions below, particularly when it comes to setting the limit order.

How to Make the Trade:

  • Trade: Sell to open the November 16, 2018, $19 put option on The Western Union Company (NYSE: WU).
  • Symbol: WU181116P00019000
  • Limit Order Price: a credit of $0.80 or more.

Tell your broker: “I want to sell a put on Western Union stock. Specifically, I want to ‘sell to open’ one November $19 Put for a credit of $0.80 per share or more.”

Note: Sell one put for every 100 shares of Western Union you would be pleased to buy at $19 per share. Investors should set aside $1,900 per contract sold to buy the stock in case the option expires in the money.

Further Instructions Regarding the Trade:

    • If the option price changes, you can adjust our recommended limit based on the midpoint of the bid/ask spread, which you should be able to see when entering the trade. Just make sure the potential credit is at least equal to the Limit Order Price specified above.
    • Place your limit order on a “good ’til canceled” (GTC) basis and be patient.

Stock Talk

George McMillion

George McMillion

STO WU $19 Put @ $.85 Credit on TOS

Thank you Jim

Ian

Ian

WU filled @ 0.85 credit

Victor

Victor

WU filled @ 0.85 NC

George McMillion

George McMillion

Correction, my Credit was $.89. Originally looked like $.85 but when I rechecked it was $.89

Maria R

Maria R

WU filled @ .85 cr @ Schwab. Thanks

Daniel Long

Daniel Long

WU STO Nov 16 19 Put filled for 0.88 credit at Fidelity.
Thanks, Jim.
DL

Stanley

Stanley

WU filled for .89 credit @ Fidelity

Jeffrey J

Jeffrey J

Filled @ $0.85 credit at TradeStation.

Michael E

Michael E

Filled @$0.89
Fidelity

Margot

Margot Micheli

WU filled at 0.87 today

Ken L

Ken Ledbetter

2 contrats for WU filled at .90 today at Fidelity

David Gibson

David Gibson

wu FILLED @$.80 / Schwab.

Hal Tatum

Hal Tatum

Am I suppose to be receiving your trades via email or just at the Income Millionaire web site?

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

If you did not receive a Trade Alert in the way you expected, and you believe other members did, here are some things to consider:

E-mail
1) Log In to My Account and look at the Notifications tab. Make sure that you have a green checkmark to receive emailed notifications and alerts for the service in question.
2) Your email program may have marked a much-anticipated Trade Alert as spam. To help ensure that the email alerts show up as expected in your inbox, see how to whitelist emails from Investing Daily.
3) Occasionally Investing Daily’s email vendor “goes down” for a few hours. It’s also happened that Yahoo!, Google, and other providers “go down” for longer. We at Investing Daily can’t control such factors, but we do monitor them closely and will resend an email if we identify a bulk delivery problem.

Patrick D Soran

Patrick D Soran

New subscriber. Thanks Jim.

Ian

Ian

WU filled @ 0.85 today etrade

W Burton

W Burton

I am a new member and just approved for options trading w/Fidelity 8/29. Is it too late to do this trade?

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

So long as the trade can be executed within the stipulated price limit and the option has at least six weeks until expiration then it is not too late to do it.

Margot

Margot

Can you please explain me concretely how to get 1.000 USD with the following trades as mentioned in your mail:
Put on Abbot Laboratories
Put on American Electric Power
Put on Prologis.
How many contracts I have to sell of each?

Thank you and best regards

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

As stated in the special report (https://www.investingdaily.com/income-millionaire/reports/41273/three-ways-to-collect-up-to-1000-or-more-in-instant-income/) selling three put contracts on each would generate more than $1,000 of income [$100 + $150 + $100 = $350 X 3 = $1,050).

At the moment, not all three of these trades can be executed at our recommended limit prices and there is no assurance that they will be which is why we suggest using limit orders in case they do trade down to those levels.

Margot

Margot

Can you please let me know whether it happens often that I am supposed to buy the underlying at the experiation date? About that I am scary, because I do not know whether I will always have enough liquidity to buy the stock. Can you also let me know where I can find an example with a call put when the short put is expiring, but not worthless?

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

So far, only 3 of our 18 short put trades have resulted in us having to buy the stock. However, there is no assurance that will continue to be the case, especially if the stock market experiences a correction at the same time our short put contracts are still open. To be safe, you should assume (and your broker will require) that you have enough capital in your brokerage account to purchase the stock for every put contract you sell.

BPL is an example of a short put that expired in-the-money so that contract was exercised against us. Here is the alert that explains how that worked out after we wrote a covered call against those shares: https://www.investingdaily.com/income-millionaire/alerts/43007/trade-alert-getting-even-with-buckeye-bpl/.

Margot

Margot

For these 3
Put on Abbot Laboratories
Put on American Electric Power
Put on Prologis
what is the minimum of the limit I have to enter?
Thank you for your quick answer.

ETKTRIDE

ETKTRIDE

WU – filled @ $.80 CR (IB)

Curtis

Curtis

Hi Jim, I am not finding the WU position listed in the portfolio. Did I miss anything. I did get filled so want to be sure I am tracking as you are. Thanks, Curt

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

No, you did miss anything but we did. I don’t know why it isn’t showing up in the portfolio table, but I just instructed my I.T. team to make sure it gets added today. Thanks for letting us know.

W Burton

W Burton

as of close on 9/12, WU closed at $19.30. I had not done the trade as you recommended and if I understand, because the stock is over the $19 strike I should not do it now. Correct?? Or increase the strike price to $20?

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

No. As stated at the bottom of the alert (above) under ‘Further Instructions Regarding the Trade’: “If the option price changes, you can adjust our recommended limit based on the midpoint of the bid/ask spread, which you should be able to see when entering the trade. Just make sure the potential credit is at least equal to the Limit Order Price specified above.
Place your limit order on a “good ’til canceled” (GTC) basis and be patient.”

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

Nice bounce from WU today after this rumor surfaced: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-09-26/western-union-is-said-to-weigh-sale-of-business-payments-unit?utm_source=yahoo&utm_medium=bd&utm_campaign=headline&cmpId=yhoo.headline&yptr=yahoo. Would not surprise if it turns out to be true since the company generates a much smaller profit margin from its Business Solutions division and 80% of its revenue comes from Consumer Solutions.

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