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Hot Takes

    7/17/25 8:52am - The June retails sales report all but eliminates any chance of a Fed rate cut at the end of this month, and could reduce the chances of one in September, too.

    7/03/25 8:42am - Today's jobs report for June lessens the odds of a rate cut this month, but it bolsters the case for using import tariffs as a mechanism for reducing the federal budget deficit.

    7/02/25 2:42pm - A slowing jobs market is one more reason why President Trump will be pressuring Fed Chair Jay Powell to cut interest rates later this month, assuming the inflation figures for June come in at or below their recent pace.

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