Buy Alert: McKesson (MCK)

TRADE INSTRUCTIONS
Date: 
December 4, 2017
Name: McKesson Corp.
Symbol: MCK (NYSE)
Type: Open
Limit: Buy below $155

TRADE TARGETS
Holding Period: 
3 months
Target Return: 9.1%
Annualized Return:
 36.4%
Target Price: $169
Stop Loss Level: $135

COMPANY DESCRIPTION
McKesson Corporation (McKesson) is engaged in delivering pharmaceuticals, medical supplies and healthcare information technology. The McKesson Distribution Solutions segment distributes drugs and equipment, and health and beauty care products across North America and internationally. The Technology Solutions segment delivers clinical, patient care, financial, supply chain and strategic management software solutions, as well as connectivity, outsourcing and other services. Its McKesson Health Solutions portfolio includes ClarityQx, which is a payment technology. Link to company website.

TRADE RATIONALE       
Yesterday’s announcement that CVS is acquiring Aetna has turned the stock market’s spotlight back on the healthcare sector. To be clear, we don’t think McKesson is necessarily a takeover target, but our Rapid Profits Matrix does believe that MCK is undervalued given its generous earnings yield of 19.8% and very high return on total capital of 70.6%.

Coming on the heels of last week’s resurgence in retail stocks, we may be witnessing a shift back towards value. The “Trump Bump” rally that has pushed growth stocks higher over the past twelve months may run into a wall if the proposed tax cut does not get passed this month, in which case a stock like MCK should start getting more attention.

There was nothing particularly noteworthy in its most recent quarterly results, but we’re not looking for anything exceptional in the way of news for this stock to hit our target price. Simply put, McKesson is a high-quality value stock priced at only 7 times trailing earnings in an industry that may be on the verge of rapid consolidation, especially if Amazon decides to ramp up its burgeoning pharmaceutical business.

NOTE: This stock is optionable.

Stock Talk

Rick

Rick

I bought a Feb 2018 150/170 DR Call spread for $7.86 and then sold 3 Feb 2018 140/145 Credit Put spreads, so a net of $4.35 DR. If stock goes to $169 on Feb 16, 2018 expiration it’s a $14.65 gain so over 330%, but I’ll be out long before then if we head in that direction. I hope.

Derek Myers

Derek: Las Vegas, NV

Nice!

Walter

Walter

Should we continue to hold or take our profits?
“60 Minutes” report last night not good! Down 4.50 +/-

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

MCK has rallied a bit since dropping below its lower Bollinger Band this morning, but I’m watching it closely. Short term support is near $155, so if it breaks below that then I may raise my stop price higher.

Len

Len

I believe there will be more bad news on their activities and the PR from 60 Minutes, which I’m sure the press will pick up on, can not be positive. I chose to get out with a decent short term profit.

William R

William R. Morris

Target price was $169. . . . . .and it hit $171.50 today in a run. . . . . .thoughts? Raise the target? Or get out while the getting is good?

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

Depends on how you’re playing it (stock vs options), but in either case raising your stop price will protect most of your gain. Since we’ve only been in it six weeks I’ll wait until next week to see if it sticks, in which case I’ll raise the stop price in the portfolio table (and issue an alert to that effect).

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

Hi William. I raised the stop price for MCK to $169 after its big jump above $177 this morning.

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