Buy Alert: Johnson Controls (JCI)

Editor’s Note: We are providing an equity trade for conservative investors and an options trade for aggressive traders.

EQUITY TRADE INSTRUCTIONS

Symbol: JCI (NYSE)
Limit:
 Buy below $33
Holding Period: 6 months
Target Price: $38
Target Gain: 15%

OPTIONS TRADE INSTRUCTIONS

Symbol: JCI190418C00032000
Limit:
 Buy the Call option below $3
Strike Price: $32
Expiration Date: April 18, 2019
Target Gain: 100%

COMPANY DESCRIPTION                     

Johnson Controls International plc was founded in 1885 and is headquartered in Cork, Ireland. It operates as a diversified technology and multi-industrial company worldwide. It designs, sells, controls, and installs heating, ventilating, and air conditioning systems. In addition, it designs, sells, installs, services, and monitors electronic security and fire detection systems. Further, the company produces and supplies lead-acid automotive batteries for passenger cars, light trucks, and utility vehicles, as well as advanced battery technologies to power start-stop, hybrid, and electric vehicles. Link to company website.

TRADE RATIONALE

We doubled our money on a JCI call option a few months ago after the company released quarterly results that exceeded expectations. Three weeks later, we closed out the equity half of the trade when JCI reached our target price of $39.

Our timing was just about perfect. Shortly after we exited our position, JCI fell 10% due to concerns that it may have trouble selling its power solutions unit at the $12 billion sales price it is expecting. However, it is unlikely that the company would have gone through the acquisition of Lux Products earlier this month if it wasn’t confident that the other deal would go through as planned.

In addition, the stock has fallen another 10% over the past three weeks along with the overall market. Now priced 20% cheaper than it was two months ago, JCI earns a perfect score of 10 from my IDEAL Stock Rating System meaning it appears undervalued and poised to rally.

From a technical perspective, JCI just bounced off its lower Bollinger Band near $32 and has plenty of room to travel before reaching the upper band presently near $37. Its RSI is a little lower than I’d like for it to be (33), but the trend is now mildly upward despite its share price declining on six of the previous seven trading days.

The company is scheduled to release its next set of quarterly results during the second week of November, a few days after the results of the midterm election are known. I’m expecting JCI to issue stronger than expected earnings guidance for 2019 based on the outcome of the two transactions closing this quarter.

Stock Talk

Waz

Waz

Thanks Jim. Filled at 2.1 at TDameritrade.

Benny K

Benny K

Missed the boat on Friday. In this morning @ 2.50 on Schwab.

Stanley

Stanley

JDI filled @ 2.60 @ Fidelity

Mark F

Mark F

JCI filled @ 2.40.

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

JCI released very strong fiscal Q4 results this morning that has pushed its share price up more than 5% today to over $35: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/johnson-controls-reports-fiscal-q4-115500678.html. The current bid/ask on our call option is $4.20/4.40, so we are already more than halfway to doubling our money on that trade in just two weeks! We still have five months until expiration, so at some point I may place a stop below this trade to ensure a profit (I will issue an Alert if/when I decide to do that).

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

Another big announcement out of JCI yesterday: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/johnson-controls-announces-agreement-sell-130000972.html. It hasn’t moved the stock much yet, but with the overall market on the skids this week it may be a while until we see a positive reaction. Don’t be surprised if JCI announces an increase to its share repurchase program in 2019 when the company releases its fiscal Q1 report in February. From the press release – “Attractive valuation yields net proceeds of $11.4 billion and provides financial flexibility for shareholder-centric capital allocation”

John N

John N

Jim, when will JCI release Q1 report? This option is sitting $2 above strike price but still sits in the red for profitability. (And I bought the call option below recommended $3.00 @ $2.80.)

Jim Pearce

Jim Pearce

JCI reported Q1 results on February 1: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/johnson-controls-reports-strong-organic-115500282.html. I will publish an update on it and some of the other holdings tomorrow afternoon.

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