Lowering Price Target on IDTI

Integrated Device Technology  is trading at about $20, down  $2 due to the loss of one of its cell phone chip customers. Although the company met earnings estimates of $.36 for the June quarter and beat revenue estimates slightly, the loss of this customer lowers 2017 estimates (year end March 2017) from $1.51 to $1.41.

The customer, Huawei, chose to develop its own chip in house. This is always a risk for chip companies with large customers. However management’s bullish forecast for the ZMDI auto business, the reason we initially became interested in the stock, is encouraging. Over the next year the lost revenue will be replaced with equally profitable new orders.

At $20 a share the stock is at my original $20 recommendation price. Although the new target of $27 is lower than my previous $44 target, the stock still offers great value for investors to profit from the development of chips for the Internet of Things.

Stock Talk

Rose

Rose

Linda,
I am confused about your methods and suggestions! In July you were so optimistic on CRAY and citing
many positive things for the future, in August you it cratered and now you are putting an $18 stop loss when previously you has anticipated a $40 target price. What gives?

Linda McDonough

Linda McDonough

Rose,
On both Cray and Integrated Devices the fundamentals of the story changed. These stocks are living breathing companies and sometimes things don’t go as planned. The delay of chips from Nvidia and Intel that are used in Cray’s products is much longer than expected which brought earnings estimates down significantly. In the case of Integrated, they lost a big customer causing estimates to be reduced. The valuation methodology is the one part that actually remains constant. It is based on earnings estimates and when those change, the targets will be either raised or lowered. Please let me know if you have any other questions. Best, Linda

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