10/26/16: Marathon Is Back On; Energy Will Transfer (MPC, ETE)

New ‘Skimming’ Trades

The refiner Marathon Petroleum (NYSE: MPC) is an attractive short-term bet again (more on that below.)

 MPC Nov. 18 $45 calls were recently offered at $1.30; buy below $1.70.

MPC Jan. 20 $40 calls were recently offered at $5.60; buy below $6.

We may update these trades following tomorrow morning’s quarterly results.

We’re also taking advantage of the recent pullback to leverage the upside of our top Best Buy.

Energy Transfer Equity (NYSE: ETE) Dec. 16 $15 calls were recently offered at $1.37;  buy below $1.75

ETE Nov. 18 $16 calls were recently offered at $0.53; buy below $0.70

Signing Up for Marathon

The traditional fall “turnaround” season is delivering a real turnaround for select refining stocks, as refinery shutdowns for maintenance curb supply at a time of strong demand for refined products.

Refining margins on the Gulf and East coasts have begun to lift from low levels as a result, and have more room for growth.

After avoiding this slumping sector for the last year we’re restoring Marathon Petroleum (NYSE: MPC) to the Growth portfolio. MPC’s Gulf coast refineries has can access the more lucrative export markets in Latin America, while its in-house filling stations chain will help limit the rising cost of ethanol blending quotas.

MPC’s affiliated MPLX (NYSE: MPLX) logistics MLP could yet prove the ace up its sleeve, since the MarkWest midstream business MPLX acquired last year sits atop two particularly prolific U.S. shale gas formations, the Marcellus and the Utica.

We’re adding MPC to the Growth Portfolio with a buy limit of $50 ahead of its quarterly earnings report tomorrow morning.

 

Stock Talk

HowieA

HowieA

Igor – any suggestions on the MPC Nov 45 Calls? Thanks, Howie

Igor Greenwald

Igor Greenwald

I’m not sure what the current bid is, but it obviously has become a long-shot bet, and given that overall volatility has come in I’d probably be letting it ride and hoping for the best at this point

Moderator: Navy64Chuck

Navy64Chuck

Igor –I have been trading ETE, and am now in the happy position of profiting from Linda’s stock recommendation and your call recommendations. I hold positions in the stock, the Dec 15 Call and the Jan 15 Call. With the OPEC actions, I am thinking that there will be some support under ETE’s current price, so I am thinking to hold the Dec 15 call a bit longer. The question is how long—or should I take the conservative approach and be happy? Put another way, when do you see the technical aspects of the Dec 15 call affecting the value as expiration approaches?

Igor Greenwald

Igor Greenwald

Congrats and I would stay with the calls to expiration. The market seems more worried about the Dakota pipeline protests than I am, and we’re into crunch time that could see the issue resolved before either settlement date, launching the price higher.

Add New Comments

You must be logged in to post to Stock Talk OR create an account