Betting on a Bounce-Back

AirBoss of America Corp. (TSX: BOS, OTC: ABSSF) is one of the largest rubber compounding and specialized rubber product manufacturers in North America. It serves customers in a variety of industries including mining, energy, defense, and auto manufacturing.

The company has performed well over time, but struggled over the past year as key customers in the mining and energy sectors cut costs. Investors took note and knocked the share price down by 50% from its all-time high in August 2015.

Although poor business conditions may continue through the first half of 2017, we believe that the stock’s current valuation, which is well below its historical average and at a substantial discount to its peers, will eventually prove to be an excellent entry point.

Additionally, AirBoss has done a great job of growing its dividend. The payout has risen 12.3% annually over the past five years, though dividend growth has slowed a bit more recently given the difficult operating environment. Nevertheless, future payments are reasonably secure given the firm’s low payout ratio, strong balance sheet, and adequate cash flow.

The stock currently yields 2.3%, which is somewhat below our preferred range, but we expect strong dividend growth beyond 2017. We estimate a fair value of C$17, or US$13.

A full report on AirBoss will appear in the January edition of Canadian Edge.

Stock Talk

Edward Getchell

Edward Getchell

Deon, when recommending a stock like AirBoss do you consider trading volume? Trading volume seems a little light for AirBoss which makes me a bit nervous.

Ed

Ari Charney

Ari Charney

Hi Ed,

Sorry for the delay in reply–we’ve been deep in the midst of issue production for the forthcoming January issue.

You’re right: The U.S.-listed foreign ordinary shares of AirBoss have extremely low trading volume. However, low trading volume isn’t all that unusual for Canadian stocks that are listed as foreign ordinaries or ADRs on the OTC, especially small caps.

The story is a bit different for the company’s TSX listing, where average trading volume (around 34,000 shares per day over the past three months) is about what you’d expect for a small cap that isn’t widely followed as of yet.

Obviously, if you’re concerned about liquidity, then trading on the TSX is your best bet.

But if you only want to deal with the U.S.-listed security, you should take the company’s average trading volume into account when deciding upon the size of your position.

And as with any security that has low trading volume, you should also use limit orders when transacting.

Volume in the U.S. listing seems to pick up during the trading sessions following each earnings release, so that might offer a brief window to establish a position without moving the market.

Best regards,
Ari

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