Oil has risen to a 15-month high, propelled by today’s surprising U.S. crude inventory drop to the lowest level since January. Additionally, on the heels of OPEC’s provisional agreement to control output, many non-members of the oil cartel appear willing to cooperate. Russia has already signaled that it will work… Read More
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Average Annualized Return Per Closed Trade: 19.8% Average Return Per Closed Trade: 16.2% Average Holding Period: 304 days The Fed released the minutes from its previous Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Wednesday, which provided more color on discussions during the September confab, when… Read More
Sell to close the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) Mar 214 put option. Our stock indicator has now moved into slightly above neutral territory, which no longer justifies holding the SPY put option. We will therefore exit the position and await other opportunities. This is our second… Read More
Today, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) released minutes from its previous meeting, held three weeks ago. The notes confirm that the decision not to hike rates was a close call. released today suggest support is building for a rate increase soon but implied that the pace of increases will… Read More
Average Annualized Return Per Closed Trade: 19.8% Average Return Per Closed Trade: 16.2% Average Holding Period: 304 days This morning the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released its monthly jobs report, for September. The U.S. economy added 156,000 non-farm jobs last month, missing… Read More
Sell to close the PowerShares DB US Dollar Bullish ETF (UUP) January 24 call option. Our dollar indicator has retreated to a level barely above zero, and could fall into negative territory. We therefore recommend selling to close the trade. This trade was… Read More
Yesterday, we closed out the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) March 26 put option for a nice gain. The trade certainly got off to a bad start. At its nadir, after the Fed struck a surprisingly dovish tone in late September, we had a 25 percent unrealized loss. Read More
Sell to close the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (GDX) Mar 26 put option. Our GDX March 26 put option trade got off to a poor start as the surprisingly dovish tone of the September FOMC meeting worked against us, but the trade has now swung decidedly in our favor. Read More
Average Annualized Return Per Closed Trade: 19.8% Average Return Per Closed Trade: 16.2% Average Holding Period: 304 days This week, OPEC may have done something they hadn’t achieved in eight years: in Algiers, the cartel members provisionally agreed to a small production cut, to a… Read More
Eric Rosengren, the President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, was one of the three dissenters against the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decision to keep the federal funds rate unchanged—the first time three members of the committee had dissented since December 2014. Previously known as reliably dovish, Rosengren… Read More