Analysis

Average Annualized Return Per Closed Trade: 26.3% Average Return Per Closed Trade: 19.9% Average Holding Period: 284 days Today’s government monthly job report shows that hiring slowed in April, confirming the earlier, separate, April report from payrolls processor ADP that similarly showed less robust job growth. According… Read More

Average Annualized Return Per Closed Trade: 26.3% Average Return Per Closed Trade: 19.9% Average Holding Period: 284 days Not surprisingly, the Doha meeting amounted to nothing. Iran refused at the last minute to even attend and Saudi Arabia held to its pledge to not agree to limit… Read More

Average Annualized Return Per Closed Trade: 25.8% Average Return Per Closed Trade: 20.1% Average Holding Period: 291 days The Doha, Qatar meeting between OPEC and non-OPEC oil producers will take place in two days on Sunday. On the agenda: freezing production at January 2016 levels. Initial… Read More

Average Annualized Return Per Closed Trade: 25.0% Average Return Per Closed Trade: 19.8% Average Holding Period: 296 days Last week, hawkish comments from a few regional Federal Reserve Bank chiefs (most of whom do not have a policy-setting vote this year) raised concerns. Market participants wondered if… Read More

Average Annualized Return Per Closed Trade: 28.6% Average Return Per Closed Trade: 22.8% Average Holding Period: 298 days Last week the S&P 500, the widely-followed proxy for the U.S. market, turned positive—albeit barely—for the year, driven by the oil rally, by relief that the economy isn’t as… Read More

Average Annualized Return Per Closed Trade: 28.6% Average Return Per Closed Trade: 22.8% Average Holding Period: 298 days Appropriately, on St. Patrick’s Day, during intraday trading U.S. stocks—as measured by the S&P 500—turned green for 2016 for the first time. Although the blue-chip index gave back some… Read More

Average Annualized Return Per Closed Trade: 28.6% Average Return Per Closed Trade: 22.8% Average Holding Period: 298 days After repeatedly having talked up the possibility of more stimulus to combat deflationary risks, European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers finally acted yesterday at their regularly scheduled Governing Council meeting. Read More

Average Annualized Return Per Closed Trade: 28.6% Average Return Per Closed Trade: 22.8% Average Holding Period: 298 days The Labor Department’s Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported today that the U.S. economy gained 242,000 nonfarm jobs in February, well above the expected 195,000 print. The BLS also… Read More

Average Annualized Return Per Closed Trade: 28.6% Average Return Per Closed Trade: 22.8% Average Holding Period: 298 days Helped by the rebound of oil prices back to the $33 range, stocks have enjoyed better days lately. The S&P 500 has gained roughly 4 percent over the past… Read More

Average Annualized Return Per Closed Trade: 28.6% Average Return Per Closed Trade: 22.8% Average Holding Period: 298 days For the first time since 2001, Russia and OPEC have reached a tentative agreement on oil production. Russia, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Venezuela agreed in principle to implement a… Read More

Average Annualized Return Per Closed Trade: 28.6% Average Return Per Closed Trade: 22.8% Average Holding Period: 298 days Last week’s decent January jobs report triggered worries that the U.S. Federal Reserve may still push ahead with interest rate hikes—wage growth accelerated and the unemployment rate fell below… Read More

Average Annualized Return Per Closed Trade: 28.6% Average Return Per Closed Trade: 22.8% Average Holding Period: 298 days After falling into the mid-$20s last week, oil has sharply rebounded to over $33 a barrel. The catalyst: news that Saudi Arabia and Russia (the world’s… Read More

Average Annualized Return Per Closed Trade: 28.6% Average Return Per Closed Trade: 22.8% Average Holding Period: 298 days What a difference two days make. Earlier this week, as oil prices continued to plunge, on Wednesday the S&P 500 reached an intraday nadir of 1812; it recovered some… Read More

Average Annualized Return Per Closed Trade: 28.6% Average Return Per Closed Trade: 22.8% Average Holding Period: 298 days Sentiment surrounding China and oil remains low, which has negatively impacted global markets, including that of the U.S. The S&P 500 today set a new 52-week intraday low: it… Read More

Average Annualized Return Per Closed Trade: 28.6% Average Return Per Closed Trade: 22.8% Average Holding Period: 298 days The New Year has not been kind to investors so far. Through the first four trading sessions of 2016, the S&P 500 has declined 4.9 percent—the worst four-day start… Read More

Average Annualized Return Per Closed Trade: 28.6% Average Return Per Closed Trade: 22.8% Average Holding Period: 298 days 2015 draws to a close today. This year marked the S&P 500’s first losing year since 2011 and its worst year since 2008. To be fair, in terms of… Read More