As expected, Bernanke is talking tough on inflation. And the market is pricing in one or two more small rate hikes by mid year. But there’s plenty of data to suggest the Fed will be forced to allow inflationary pressures to mount. Our iShares Lehman 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund… Read More
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Image via Wikipedia Volume 3, Number 7 February 15, 2006 Newly installed Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke is on Capitol Hill today and as they did with his predecessor, the markets are parsing his every utterance. So far, the long end of the bond market likes… Read More
To profit from this situation, this morning we added a bearish position in the March 140 Oil Service HOLDRs puts (OIH + OH). Set a limit to pay no more than 6.50 per option if you haven’t bought it yet. Most likely we’ll only be holding this position for a… Read More
Image via Wikipedia Volume 3, Number 6 February 8, 2006 The big story this week is the nosedive in commodities and commodity related shares. This is clearly a near-term correction and not the start of a major new trend. Still, it doesn’t look like the… Read More
This morning we sold our silver and gold play, Coeur d’Alene Mines for a gain of 30 percent using margin. After moving up to our target range the stock started to pull back. We decided to lock in the gain and await another chance to buy into a gold… Read More
Image by markhillary via Flickr Volume 3, Number 5 February 1, 2006 This has been one of the busiest weeks on record for us. Since our last update we closed out three trades, doubled up on an existing position and added two more trades to… Read More
Earlier today we initiated a trade in the Chevron June 65 call option (CVX + FM). The stock appears set to climb to new highs and we want to be along for the ride. Set a limit to pay no more than $2.60 for the Chevron call if you haven’t… Read More
Image by Getty Images via Daylife Volume 3, Number 4 January 25, 2005 Stocks remain largely stuck in neutral this week and there’s a decided lack of real leadership to point to. Our favorite insiders, NYSE Specialists, remain unabashed bulls. However, the market is… Read More
Yet despite all this bad news the S&P 500 has barely budged. Such strength suggests that we have further to go on the upside. That’s good news for our February 127 Standard & Poor’s Depositary Receipts call option (SPY + BW). Even just a modest gain in the S&P in… Read More
Image by Getty Images via Daylife Volume 3, Number 3 January 18, 2005 The stock market is showing impressive resilience here. Let’s look at some the negatives: Oil prices have risen above $66 a barrel due to increasing nuclear tensions with Iraq and rebel… Read More